compare STAR with strategic-primary voting…?
Okay, I'd like help thinking this through:
I'm looking at the Democratic primary here. Let's say for discussion I prefer someone else to the front-runner incumbent (Kate Brown). If the front-runner is going to win anyway, I can just vote for symbolism. But what if enough support could actually knock out the front-runner? Then, I start worrying about which candidate is most likely to beat the Republican who I probably would not support… of course, I can ignore that concern if the Republican is sure to lose to any of the Dems.
How does STAR relate to this?
Kill the primary, nothing's closed by party… so, now is there a scenario where my worries remain?
Say Kate Brown will defeat the Republican but the other candidates might actually lose (say because some of Kate's voters lean toward Republican as their second choice over the other Dems, and Republican base is strong enough to be competitive).
How unlikely is it really that one of the other Dems knocks Kate out of the automatic runoff in STAR but the Republican stays in the runoff and wins, whereas Kate would have won the runoff if she'd made it in?
Seems obvious that this worry scenario requires a close election, but still, that could happen, right?